Predicting the future impact of climate change on the distribution of species in Egypt’s mediterranean ecosystems

BMC Plant Biology

Table 3 The area (in km²) of the suitable habitat for the explored species currently and under future climate scenarios using MaxEnt and ensemble models predictions

Species	Model	Suitability class	Current	HadGEM3-GC31-LL				IPSL-CM6A-LR
				2041–2060		2061–2080		2041–2060		2061–2080
				SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5	SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5	SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5	SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5
T. hirsuta	MaxEnt	Unsuitable	170,189	167,078	168,642	165,124	169,149	171,260	172,718	169,970	169,918
		Low	1898	5904	4797	7960	4520	3040	1901	3961	3864
		Moderate	2379	1820	1460	1848	895	621	287	825	829
		High	552	216	119	86	454	97	112	262	407
	Ensemble	Unsuitable	169,476	153,604	153,254	151,127	153,285	158,304	153,274	154,410	152,908
		Low	3217	14,388	12,581	13,754	13,739	11,417	14,011	13,935	13,986
		Moderate	1192	6159	7174	7781	6282	4560	6913	6094	5795
		High	1133	867	2009	2356	1712	737	820	579	2329
O. vaginalis	MaxEnt	Unsuitable	169,484	169,212	169,378	169,620	169,129	170,198	170,356	169,140	169,574
		Low	3843	3773	4225	3466	3940	3385	3265	3872	3257
		Moderate	1279	1600	415	718	741	1121	493	578	577
		High	412	433	1000	1214	1208	314	904	1428	1610
	Ensemble	Unsuitable	170,641	161,607	164,387	166,328	164,341	164,374	163,412	163,997	162,539
		Low	2929	10,231	5253	4438	4802	7627	6393	7891	7123
		Moderate	1139	2318	3744	2790	3314	2156	4288	2248	3459
		High	309	862	1634	1462	2561	861	925	882	1897
L. monopetalum	MaxEnt	Unsuitable	168,489	172,338	172,463	172,286	174,178	171,849	172,718	170,847	173,943
		Low	4626	1798	2025	2150	682	2386	1901	3134	857
		Moderate	1455	627	387	439	142	578	287	786	203
		High	448	255	143	143	16	205	112	251	15
	Ensemble	Unsuitable	170,068	174,366	173,787	173,529	174,041	174,390	174,426	174,447	173,685
		Low	3532	537	1127	1652	884	516	511	471	1232
		Moderate	1153	115	104	127	93	112	81	100	101
		High	265	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ISSN: 1471-2229