Predicting the future impact of climate change on the distribution of species in Egypt’s mediterranean ecosystems

BMC Plant Biology

Table 4 The area (in km²) of the protected area that regard suitable habitat for the studied species currently and under future climate scenarios based on MaxEnt and ensemble models predictions

Species	Model	Suitability class	Current	HadGEM3-GC31-LL				IPSL-CM6A-LR
				2041–2060		2061–2080		2041–2060		2061–2080
				SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5	SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5	SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5	SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5
T. hirsuta	MaxEnt	Unsuitable	7918	7672	7042	7001	7383	7830	7476	7678	7315
		Low	138	743	1101	1055	980	665	926	791	972
		Moderate	503	375	632	724	445	367	453	373	502
		High	425	194	209	204	176	122	129	142	195
	Ensemble	Unsuitable	7885	6711	6609	6675	6641	7090	6682	6672	6605
		Low	295	1047	1079	1158	1271	629	980	920	1322
		Moderate	130	792	856	615	710	899	1035	1077	647
		High	674	434	440	536	362	366	287	315	410
O. vaginalis	MaxEnt	Unsuitable	7970	7954	7969	7951	7885	7986	8281	7689	7953
		Low	465	375	634	377	482	486	587	475	420
		Moderate	424	520	105	209	196	400	49	97	127
		High	125	135	276	447	421	112	67	723	484
	Ensemble	Unsuitable	8015	6575	7414	7894	7196	7610	6821	7529	7770
		Low	453	1711	684	327	969	714	1348	787	401
		Moderate	411	403	417	336	281	389	556	391	407
		High	105	295	469	427	538	271	259	277	406
L. monopetalum	MaxEnt	Unsuitable	7883	8143	8203	8164	8634	8148	8304	8050	8518
		Low	526	408	492	515	289	464	535	506	367
		Moderate	374	321	236	244	61	286	115	315	99
		High	201	112	53	61	0	86	30	113	0
	Ensemble	Unsuitable	7872	8788	8729	8703	8745	8791	8816	8802	8725
		Low	652	150	211	231	202	152	139	142	221
		Moderate	382	46	44	50	37	41	29	40	38
		High	78	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ISSN: 1471-2229